Will Housing Bust In 2023?
<p>The housing market will likely make or break the U.S. economy this year. Housing is both a significant component of GDP — construction and housing related services account for roughly 17% of U.S. GDP. It’s also a huge driver of consumer and bank confidence. Americans have a lot of their wealth tied up in housing — so rising real estate values make people feel richer and spend more. At the same time, banks make a lot of loans (e.g. mortgages) that are backed by real estate — healthy housing markets make banks confident that they will be repaid one way or another and encourage them to keep lending more and more.</p>
<p>Thus, housing markets drive both consumer spending (rising net worths encourage spending) and credit growth (rising collateral values stimulate lending).</p>
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