The Country May Lurch Leftward in Surprising Ways in 2024

Politics are never static, regardless of what polls and pundits say. Usually, the historically expected outcome is promoted by the media, with few exceptions, and then Wham! — we get clobbered upside the head with a shocking outcome which moves the needle in a different direction. This new reality then is just the accepted new political climate, and all new analysis is based on this backdrop, and so on and so on with few people realizing that we’re in an ever-changing environment, full of surprises and unpredictable outcomes. Most things are obvious with perfect hindsight, and I feel like we could be in for one of those shifts that will shock us, and that we’ll look back on with agreeable feelings of inevitability. I previously wrote that ideological eras in the U.S. seem to shift in rough cycles, about 40–50 years (see “<a href="https://medium.com/@thinkeratthegates/the-stages-of-political-drunkenness-58e81e10147a" rel="noopener">The Stages of Political Drunkenness</a>”), and that we are coming out of a Conservative era and into a Liberal era. The MAGA movement is the heavy drunkenness portion of this theory; the idea being that eras end because the movement flames out due to people being drunk on their perceived power and behaving as though they are the inevitable perpetual thought leaders. <a href="https://medium.com/predict/the-country-may-lurch-leftward-in-surprising-ways-in-2024-9b8b168daaf6">Click Here</a>