Why I’m Not Panicking About the Future of Generative AI
<p>There’s a lot of doomsday chatter about artificial intelligence lately.</p>
<p>If you’re a podcast listener, you’ve undoubtedly heard an episode about the looming A.I. apocalypse on every podcast you listen to. I’ve lost count of the number of episodes <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/column/ezra-klein-podcast" rel="noopener ugc nofollow" target="_blank">Ezra Klein</a> has done on the subject (literally). His arch <a href="https://medium.com/@ajdrenth/sam-harris-vs-ezra-klein-what-went-wrong-bccada803c0d" rel="noopener">nemesis</a>, Sam Harris, has also done <a href="https://www.samharris.org/podcasts" rel="noopener ugc nofollow" target="_blank">quite a few</a>.</p>
<p>Jordan Peterson has <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0ll5c50MrPs" rel="noopener ugc nofollow" target="_blank">covered it</a>.</p>
<p>Joe Rogan has <a href="https://www.theverge.com/2023/5/3/23708635/joe-rogan-ai-experience-podcast-interview" rel="noopener ugc nofollow" target="_blank">covered it</a>.</p>
<p>The framing is always the same: A.I. is becoming dangerously complicated as rapid technological progress threatens to undermine our culture, steal our jobs, and — in the worst-case scenario — poses an existential threat to humanity.</p>
<p>It’s been on everybody’s minds since the release of OpenAI’s ChatGPT 3.5 and 4.</p>
<p>In May, an ex-Google pioneer in the field of artificial made <a href="https://www.nbcnews.com/tech/tech-news/artificial-intelligence-pioneer-leaves-google-warns-technologys-future-rcna82242" rel="noopener ugc nofollow" target="_blank">headlines</a> when he quit the tech behemoth and warned the public about the dangers of the power of the artificial intelligence technologies being developed right now.</p>
<p>In mid-July, another ex-Google employee, a Chief Business Officer, <a href="https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/technology/ex-google-chief-warns-ai-could-displace-humans-for-sex-and-love-why-would-one-need-another-being/ar-AA1e8GtU" rel="noopener ugc nofollow" target="_blank">warned</a> that A.I. could “displace humans for sex and love,” begging us to why would one need another human being when tech can do what other people can (friendships, sex, etc.).</p>
<p>I’m entirely unconvinced. I think the danger is exaggerated, often by tech employees who overestimate their abilities and the power of their own creations.</p>
<p>All the dramatic flailing and verbal melodrama in the world aren’t going to change the fact that, with all due respect, while novel and intriguing, these technologies are severely limited. Not to mention, most of these hypotheses are just out of the bounds of reality.</p>
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